Creditsafe
FICTIONAL RESEARCH · HALLOWEEN CONCEPT

CREDITSAFE / HALLOWEEN RESEARCH CONCEPT

The walkingdebt.

Still trading. Barely breathing.

A fictional journey into businesses kept moving by debt, while their earnings struggle to cover the cost of staying alive.

Enter the report

All statistics are invented for this design concept.

22%

of our fictional cohort meets the report’s illustrative zombie-company definition.

Not real Creditsafe research.

02 / THE POPULATION ALIVE ON PAPER

The lights are on.
But is anybody thriving?

In this invented cohort of 1,000 SMEs, 220 earned less in operating profit than their interest costs for three consecutive fictional years.

That is our illustrative definition of a zombie company. It does not mean every one of these businesses is insolvent.

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR LENDERS

Ask whether earnings can sustain the debt, and whether the weakness is persistent. An active company record tells only part of the story.

22%All SMEs · 1,000 fictional companies
Zombie: 22%Strained: 17%Resilient: 61%

Each marker represents 1% of the selected segment. Groups are exclusive in this fictional model.

The overall rate masks an uneven picture. Explore the fictional sectors to see where pressure clusters.

03 / THE STRESS TEST PRESSURE CAN BUILD FAST

One shock.
A different pulse.

Meet a fictional business with £1.2 million in annual revenue, £1.08 million in operating costs and £80,000 in annual interest.

Move the slider to reduce revenue. This simple scenario holds operating costs and interest fixed.

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR LENDERS

Explore the headroom behind the headline numbers. One weak year is a warning signal; it does not establish the three-year zombie definition used here.

FICTIONAL COMPANY / ANNUAL SCENARIO

Operating profit£120,000
Annual interest£80,000
1.50×Operating profit / interest
0×1×: interest covered2×

Interest covered. Headroom matters.

Operating profit covers interest 1.5 times in this model. A revenue decline of just over 3.3% would take coverage below 1× if costs stayed fixed.

Illustrative arithmetic only. No forecast of default or insolvency. Real costs, cash flows and financing arrangements vary.

04 / THE WARNING SIGNS READ THE WHOLE STORY

Don’t wait
for the credits.

Borrowing, payment behaviour and company events can tell different parts of a financial-pressure story. Explore the fictional findings.

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR LENDERS

Combine financial history with current signals. Use the evidence to ask better questions, then monitor what changes.

FICTIONAL FOLLOW-UP / ZOMBIE COHORT: 220 SMEs

55% 121 of 220

Repeated late payments

In the invented follow-up, 121 zombie companies made repeated late payments. Persistent slippage could prompt a closer look at cash conversion and liquidity.

Zombie status is a research classification. Insolvency is a separate event. A strained business may recover, restructure or fail.

Fictional, by design.

Every company, statistic and finding in this report is invented. It is a Halloween creative prototype, not published Creditsafe research, a credit assessment or a lending recommendation.

The 1,000-company cohort has four equal sectors of 250 companies. Fictional zombie rates are 28% in construction, 32% in hospitality, 18% in retail and 10% in services. The equal-weighted total is 22%.

For the concept, zombie means operating profit below annual interest costs for three successive fictional years. Strained means weaker but not meeting that condition. Resilient is the remainder; the label does not imply risk-free.

The follow-up models 220 zombie companies: 121 with repeated late payments, 99 seeking refinancing and 33 entering insolvency during the next fictional year. These outcomes can overlap.

The slider uses operating profit = £1,200,000 × (1 − revenue shock) − £1,080,000. Interest coverage = operating profit ÷ £80,000. The meter clips negative coverage to zero, while the numeric result retains the negative value.

A real report would specify data sources, company ages, sample selection, reporting periods and the adopted zombie-company definition.

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